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Commonwealth
Forests | | |
Trends
The broad industrial trends indicate an increase in consumption in most industrial wood
product categories, an increase in global trade in forest products despite the constraints on
growth mentioned earlier, an increase in the use of engineered wood products, and an increase
in material substitution.
The economics of wood supply, a very important component of forest management, have been
turbulent, especially in those countries dominated by natural forests. There are the normal
business cycle trends (such as in the housing markets), there is a marked increase in natural
disturbances of the forest, such as wind, fire, insect and disease which affect both long term
and short term supply, and there are competing uses of the forest leading to stronger log
prices which can expand the economic zone. At the macro level, there has been industrial
restructuring in four ways: 1. the industry is further amalgamating, creating larger companies
on the global stage where the head offices are not in Commonwealth countries; 2. they are
downsizing their manufacturing in some regions due to ageing plants, inefficient facilities or
inappropriate product lines; 3. they are finding new business partners such as the energy
sector or agribusiness; or 4. they are shifting their investments to locations with low input
costs (e.g. labour), new emerging markets (e.g. India) or to areas where land management is
not as complex (e.g. private industrial timberland).
At a more specific level the manufacturing sector has seen a marked decline in some specific
industries such as newsprint, but a growth in industries such as Oriented Strand Board (OSB)
and Medium Density Fibreboard (MDF) panels. There has also been a shift in production
between countries.
In many Commonwealth countries, where property rights are unclear, there has been an
increase in conflict over land use. The challenge is to create industrial processing capabilities
that are both viable and can incorporate the high costs of the ‘transition period’.
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